Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 204.371372 237.119623 274.635889 321.058830 377.322720 443.766125 528.849952
2025-09-07 161.413219 202.883268 255.318705 327.503031 425.909641 557.788217 752.093426
2025-09-14 130.790394 173.093592 230.150468 314.558051 439.465658 622.885251 923.282931
2025-09-21 113.708883 156.833421 218.121643 314.360378 467.051555 709.907286 1147.550364
2025-09-28 101.689750 145.216755 209.888167 316.821337 497.263466 805.802433 1413.822697
2025-10-05 96.157675 142.005233 213.139554 336.939779 559.281952 969.074796 1857.613580
2025-10-12 91.140616 138.685723 215.383114 355.263315 621.513990 1148.636953 2404.380660
2025-10-19 83.255022 129.667134 206.853567 352.955726 644.403276 1256.469784 2835.788798
2025-10-26 78.511007 125.198023 205.296064 362.850941 693.015429 1431.608060 3512.587685
2025-11-02 73.466966 119.590100 200.911522 366.429024 729.033053 1588.694388 4220.794570
2025-11-09 69.266557 114.968358 197.667562 371.609894 769.544354 1769.005306 5100.424931
2025-11-16 64.948769 109.667569 192.473142 371.839920 798.643409 1929.303704 6014.490841
2025-11-23 60.458985 104.022004 186.757619 371.932671 832.520260 2129.632448 7284.366029
2025-11-30 57.136270 100.276609 184.447084 379.579128 888.980255 2424.702098 9235.013748
2025-12-07 52.002079 92.500578 172.978078 364.112532 880.155857 2512.882005 10357.833256
2025-12-14 48.820722 88.227470 168.252520 363.876450 913.957752 2760.796791 12582.301628
2025-12-21 46.234731 84.874075 165.052279 366.814360 958.120969 3069.419036 15589.126672
2025-12-28 45.480771 85.162669 169.796724 390.863892 1074.726837 3725.858665 22023.085494
2026-01-04 44.551102 84.975641 173.438487 412.815832 1192.897937 4473.253688 30979.417936
2026-01-11 42.072351 81.237557 168.427957 410.048843 1225.971830 4857.631308 37780.497645
2026-01-18 40.688202 79.744910 168.535455 421.918916 1316.423530 5596.629254 50808.323856
2026-01-25 38.971843 77.355957 166.194706 426.214222 1380.472918 6251.363441 65612.821081
2026-02-01 37.485790 75.350420 164.568243 432.436491 1455.170023 7038.662884 86567.995384